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Saturday, August 09, 2008
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US election diary: American voters

American political attitudes have changed little in 50 years [GALLO/GETTY]

"No-one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public."
H L Mencken

Almost 50 years ago, when Dwight Eisenhower was in the White House, a group of social scientists did an exhaustive survey of American voters. 

Their work focused on voter attitudes, expertise and ability to form opinions on issues. It was published in 1960 under the title "The American Voter".

In focus

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The book immediately became a classic in its field and its findings shocked the public and the politicians.

The surveys showed most 1950s Americans were dismally ill-informed on the issues, knew next to nothing about politics and cared even less.

So when a new generation of scholars decided to re-do the work and see how much better informed 21st century Americans are, compared to their grandparents, they expected to see a big difference.  

"We took the same questions, the same surveys, the same information and updated it to our most recent presidential elections" in 2000 and 2004, says co-author Michael Lewis Beck, a University of Iowa political scientist, who I interviewed in his office in Iowa City.

'Shocking' findings

Are Americans tuning out the candidates' messages? [GALLO/GETTY]
One would certainly expect voters today to be much better informed than their 1950s counterparts.

That was the era of the hula-hoop, the Davy Crockett coonskin cap, and just three television channels.

This is the era of the IPhone, Blu-Ray discs, and a nonstop plethora of political information: cable news channels, tracking polls, blogs, websites, pundits and talking heads galore.

Voters surely must absorb all this nattering and use it as the basis for wise political choices. 
 
Alas, it ain't so. Lewis-Beck called the new findings a "shocker".
 
"The American voter processes information about politics and candidates [but] they think about that essentially the same way they did 50 years ago," he says.
 
In their book, "The American Voter Revisited", Lewis-Beck and his colleagues found Americans tune out most of that flood of information on the air and online.

'Cognitive misers' 

Obama's "change" may not be getting through to voters [EPA]
Social scientists have a special term for it: They call voters who shun information "cognitive misers".

"American voters are busy people and it's a question of how they allocate their time," Lewis-Beck says.

"Most voters most of the time don't pay any attention to politics. They don't know a lot about politics, they don't follow politics, they maybe - if they are lucky - keep one or two issues at most on their minds.

"They don't connect the issues together, and they don't associate the issues with a candidate."

Most people can't even come up with a definition of what it means to be   conservative or liberal.

And they don't choose which party they support after careful ideological analysis; they simply inherit the preferences of their parents.

The economy, stupid  
 

"If the economy is going bad the party in the White House, whether it is Republican or Democrat, that party is going to lose a lot of votes"

Michael Lewis Beck, political scientist, University of Iowa

Research shows that while most people do not have a clue about global warming, abortion rights, or domestic wiretapping, they are focused on basic bread and butter issues.

"They do care about the economy, a lot," Lewis-Beck says.

"There's no single issue that more reliably hurts the party in the White House or helps the party in the White House.

"If the economy is going bad the party in the White House, whether it is Republican or Democrat, that party is going to lose a lot of votes."

As for foreign policy, forget it. Unless the United States is at war - as it is now in Afghanistan and Iraq - voters simply do not care about what is going on elsewhere in the world.

"Foreign policy is a non-starter," Lewis-Beck explains. "If there's not a war foreign policy is on nobody's mind."

'No fools'

Previous entries


Part 1: Obama factor
Part 2: It's personal
Part 3: Overload
Part 4: A nasty week
Part 5: A week of war
Part 6: War and lies
Part 7: On the right
Part 8: Race card
Part 9: Bear baiting?
Part 10: No end in sight?
Part 11: Forced to wait
Part 12: Under par
Part 13: Tough choices
Part 14: Cashing in
Part 15: Making history

Part 16: Albatross
Part 17: Dog days
Part 18: The right notes
Part 19: Military men

We talked with a number of eligible voters in Washington DC and San Diego, California, on the subject, most of whom admitted they were not paying attention to the details.

Karen Martin of Westminster, Maryland says, "I just really need to decipher it and figure out what, who I want to vote for, and I'm not there yet."

Tanisha Brown of San Diego, who is African-American, said she did not know much about Barack Obama's policy positions, but planned to vote for him because "he looks like me. That's all I can say, he looks like me".

One man who declined to give his name commented ruefully: "A lot of people talked about how they voted for George Bush because he was the kind of guy we'd wanna have a beer with. Well, that worked out real well."

While the new research may seem to put American voters in an unflattering light, information-wise, Lewis-Beck says that is not the point.

"We don't think they're fools," he cautions.

"We think they're wise users of their time. They know the basics, they know what's important to them and they go about their jobs, putting food on the table and taking the kids to the dentist."

"They don't know the policy details, but they don't need to know the policy details. They know the policy outcomes. They know what they're living through."

"They know if their son is in combat, they know if their neighbour is unemployed. They experience the results of the policy. And they decide whether on the basis of their experience whether the person in charge is doing a good job."

Lack of participation

Unfortunately, only about 50 to 60 per cent of Americans vote in any given presidential election.

And a much smaller number are deeply involved in politics to the extent of attending debates, raising money for a candidate or volunteering in a campaign.

But the people who think participation in politics is a waste of time lose out in the end, Lewis Beck says.

"The more you participate in politics the more you get out of the system," he says.

"The people who participate more in the system are the haves: The people who have more wealth, more education.

"The people who participate least in the system are poor people, disadvantaged people. And they get less out of the system. So there is a consequence."

 Source: Al Jazeera
 
Feedback Number of comments : 9
 
Networkkid
United States
12/08/2008
American Voters
First of all i want to reiterate the first response. Second of all this will be the 1st presedintial election ive beenable to take part in. I cant say who i support because i just dont know. At this point im leaning twords republican just because Obama doesnt seem to have any substance just star staus. I know that if he loses it will be because "America is Racist" NO we just want someone who can atleast pretend to understand things.

Jack Raddatz
United States
12/08/2008
US election diary:American voter
I guess I was somewhat shocked at the outcome of this survay. I would like to know morw about how it was conbducted and how many people it questioned? Katerine Andreou's comments are right on. I don't think the aberage American will ever demand any social changes from their government until the economy falls flat on it face. By then it will be to late and everyone but the wealthy, who continue emptied the pockets of the average American, will suffer. The voters need to wake up and get involved!

Nancy Brumback
United States
15/08/2008
US Election Diary: American voters
I am a retired teacher. I taught in the suburban pubic high schools of Washington DC and in small progressive colleges in Vermont and San Francisco, CA. And I went to high school in the 50s, so if anyone can verify the truth of Rob Reynolds article, it is I. In America, we are trained, both in high school and in most colleges, to ignore our real history and to believe instead the myth of "American Expectionalism." Which rots our minds and makes it hard for us to care about anything but ourselves

Katerina Andreou
United States
10/08/2008
American Voters
Most American voters chose to remain ignorant of broader more vital issues, and focus upon trivia, while others look at only their own problems, and base their choices on what directly affects them most. Americans look at short-term fixes than long-term solutions to problems (next quarter or paycheck), and/or seduced by quick sound-bites. This is exacerbated by a media fixated on ratings, that sensationalize trivia, don't scrutinize or offer investigative fact-based reports to the public.

Scott
United States
12/08/2008
how we choose
While I think it is true that here in the US, most of us are not aware of the policy differences the candidates would have if elected, I think that many of us make our decision on a less concrete factor. Namely, charisma. Heroes and Idols are what we search for, and a presidential candidate with charisma and bold leadership (whether in the right or wrong direction) inspires voters to their side. Many of us simply vote for whoever we think is more Presidential.

Janet
United States
15/08/2008
American voters
One gets the impression here that it doesn't matter what you do, you can't change the outcome of the political scene. George Bush was never elected, those elections were stolen. Americans are grossly overworked and underpaid people don't have time to do research. Millions of us cannot take our kids to the doctor if they get sick all of us are on the verge of losing our jobs. Many do not have internet access they get news off the corporate owned media, which has no real information.

Shaun
United States
15/08/2008
Pretty Obvious Truth
20/20 has also reported on American stupidity and its roots from childhood. Americans voters as a whole generally consider appearance and likeability more than reason when making a decision. Only in America will you find a candidate that presents well-prepared policies ensuring the long-term success of America questioned as being too much of a "celebrity." His articulate manner scares the ignorant and inarticulate American people. 20/20 has also reported on this phenomenon of American stupidity.

Chris M.
United States
18/08/2008
Stupidity isnt the only reason.
The only way things will ever change for the better is the day when religion takes its hands off of politics. Once the older generations are long gone and my generation, those currently in college, take over, we will finally be more open and understanding to everything happening around us. We have grown up in an era of assimilation, while most older generations have grown up in eras of segregation. Once we reach this new point, we will finally be able to help ourselves and the world.

Tiffany Z
United States
07/10/2008
Giving it all up
America is no longer a country "of the people, by the people for the people" And no one seems to care. We have given up our own freedoms by believing all that we are told in mainstream media. Our system has been broken for many years, and there is not one single politician or party that can be blamed. We have given it up, willfully, because the majority is lazy. Nothing in this country can ever change until we, the people realize that it's up to us do create change.

 
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