UPDATED ON:
Saturday, September 06, 2008
01:29 Mecca time, 22:29 GMT
News Americas
What lies ahead in the US election

The candidates wasted little time in getting back on the campaign trail [GALLO/GETTY] 

With the pomp and pageantry of the political party campaigns behim them, Barack Obama, the US Democratic presidential candidate, and John McCain, his Republican rival, are now in the home stretch in the race for the White House.

In focus

In-depth coverage of the US election
Over the next eight weeks, the two top contenders will criss-cross the country making speeches, shaking hands, kissing babies and stuffing themselves with local fare - all in the cause of getting votes on November 4.

In large part, the focus will be on states such as Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida - so-called battleground or swing stages. 

If recent history is anything to go by, it has often been in these states that presidential elections are decided.

They contain a large number of sought-after working class, undecided, independent voters who - in the past - have played a key role in deciding who gets to be the next occupant of the White House.

Female vote

To underscore that point, John McCain and his newly minted running mate, Sarah Palin, left Minnesota immediately after their party's convention and headed straight to the state of Wisconsin for a joint appearance.

It is a state that has been for the Democratic party since 1988, but both sides are aware that in the last two terms, the outcome has been very close.

Palin then heads for her home state of Alaska, where she is governor, before returning to the cut and thrust of campaigning on her own.

Most analysts and commentators on both sides of the political divide agree that she has energised the Republican ticket and poses a major attraction to the vital female vote, something that has not been lost on the Obama campaign.

They are moving fast to undercut her appeal.

Democrat counter-attack

Obama's camp will hope to blunt Palin's
appeal to women voters [Reuters]
Some of the Democrat Party's highest-profile female leaders will fan out over the next few weeks, making the pitch for Obama in the hope of blunting Palin's attraction to women voters.

Among them will be Hillary Clinton, Obama's erstwhile rival, along with others such as Janet Napolitano, the Arizona governor, Kathleen Sibelius, Kansas governor.

For the Obama campaign, countering Palin will be a delicate balancing act. They will want to confront and attack her on policy issues but not be seen as being too hard on her on her personally.

That could engender sympathy from independent women voters and drive them into the Republican camp.

The Democrats will probably employ a "good-cop, bad-cop" approach. 

Debates 'minefield'

Jimmy Carter benefited from his
opponent's debate stumble [AFP]
In between all that campaigning, both Obama and McCain will also have to prepare for the all-important presidential debates.

There will be three of them over the next few weeks. There will also be one vice-presidential debate.

The debates have proved to be a minefield in the past. They have the power to make or break a candidate's bid for the White House.

In the 1976 debate between Gerald Ford, the Republican incumbent president and Jimmy Carter, the Democratic contender, Ford all but destroyed his chanced of staying in office by saying he did not believe the then-Soviet Union dominated eastern Europe.

And in 1992 when George H W Bush, father of George Bush, the current US president, glanced at his watch during a debate with Bill Clinton, his Democratic rival and Ross Perot, an independent candidate, he became the target of widespread criticism - and some public opprobrium - from opponents.

Hot commodity?

But the forthcoming could be very different according to one analyst.

Allan Lichtman, a US political historian, told Al Jazeera something remarkable could happen this year.

"There may be more interest in the vice-presidential debate than in the presidential debate," he says.

"Sarah Palin overshadowed John McCain at the Republican convention. She's the hot commodity in the Republican Party."

That debate takes place October 2. The first presidential debate is on September 26.

And these mega-events come with very high stakes.

 Source: Al Jazeera
 
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Feedback Number of comments : 12
 
Mark Brewster
United States
07/09/2008
Pls kindly inform Elvis Brantley that this story had nothing to do with the marriage of Palin's daughter. The democrats need to strike hard to discredit Palin for the baseless, manipulative con she is or the momentum of her NRA membership and epic uterus will sway the more ignorant voters. The VP debate indeed will be quite important, though I believe the main debates will also be quite interesting.

Virginia Gentleman
United States
07/09/2008
What Lies Ahead in U. S. Election
This article is more objective than much of what passed for "news" in the U. S. about Governor Palin and the election in general. This election finds the GOP fielding a truly Western challenge to the Eastern power block in American politics. With the exception of California, voters from western states tend to look more like McCain and Palin than Obama and Biden. Most of America likewise. Like Secretary Rice, Gov. Palin is the new face of American political women.

dls
United States
08/09/2008
Pitbull Politics
Pitbull politics is not a good example of moral leadership. First Karl Rove and now, without remorse, we are promised a new change in government by the same misguided people who champion a pitbull with lipstick to hold the second highest office. The difference is between a party that embraces 'our brothers keeper' and one that embraces 'our brothers accuser'.

Johnny
Canada
08/09/2008
Dangerous
There must be more than a 40-point IQ difference between the Democrat and Republican candidates. This must be one of the most important elections to have ever taken place in an oligarchy.

David Norris
South Africa
08/09/2008
US Elections
I've always known that republicans are racists but I never realised how deep rooted racism is in the US. Given the mess that the republicans have created both in the US and outside, one can't imagine how possible Mcain could be leading in the polls. There is one thing clear, americans can never accept a black man. Shame on the americans!

Elvis Brantley
Nigeria
06/09/2008
Pls kindly inform Sarah Palin not to destroy the life of her daughter by forcing her into early marriage,just because she wants to advance her political career.

Leonard Melton
United States
07/09/2008
Keep your eyes on Missouri ...
I read the most interesting article on the BBC news site that the US State of Missouri has been a reliable indicator in prediction of US Presidents since about 1904 with only 1 exception. This might be an interesting State to watch on election-returns night for those in the Pubs placing bets ...

Aaron
Afghanistan
07/09/2008
I wouldn't vote for McCain, but if for some reason I would, I still wouldn't because Palin is a woman.

MICHAEL
United States
08/09/2008
PALIN MAYOR SKILLS-SAY WHAT?
DID MCCAIN GO AFTER HILLARY'S VOTERS BY CHOOSING PALIN EVEN IF SHE DIDN'T HAVE THE NEEDED SKILLS TO BE PRESIDENT? BEING A MAYOR DOES NOT BRING IN PRESIDENTAL TRAINING. HOW MANY MAYORS COULD BECOME PRESIDENT HANDLE A DEPRESSED ECONOMY SUPPORT TWO WARS AND TENSION BUILDING UP BETWEEN RUSSIA AND THE WEST? PALIN IS A PENTACOSTAL BELIEVEING SHE SPEAKS TO GOD AND THE U.S. IS DOING GOD'S WORK. MY MOM'S FRIEND WAS IN THE NAVY FOR 20 YEARS AND A MAYOR, BUT IT DOES NOT MAKE HIM PRESIDENTAL.

MICHAEL
United States
08/09/2008
MCCAIN AND PALIN
ONE TV INTERVIEW CLAIMED GEORGIA FIRED ON S. OSSETIA FIRST. WHY WERE THERE ONLY RUSSIAN PEACEKEEPERS IN S.OSSETIA VS U.N. PEACEKEEPERS? THIS ISSUE WAS A WAY OF TRYING TO KEEP GEORGIA FROM JOINING NATO OR UN. MCCAIN LIKES TO THREATEN BEFORE ALL FACTS ARE IN. PALIN READS BUSH'S SECRETARY'S PREPARED SPEACH WELL WITH ALL THE JABS AT DEMOCRATS, AND NO MEAT ABOUT THE ECONOMY, WARS ETC. MCCAIN WILL EXTEND THE WAR IN IRAQ. MCCAIN & PALIN WILL FIGHT ABORTION AND TAKE AWAY WOMEN'S RIGHT TO CHOOSE.

John Reimann
United States
08/09/2008
What Lies Ahead in US Election
The Democrats' strategy in dealing with Palin is pathetic. They are failing to point out her introduction of a sales tax, her leaving her city in a fiscal mess, her lunatic denial of human-caused global warming. They are even allowing her to claim the woman vote despite her opposition to the right to have an abortion - a right supported by the overwhelming majority of women. This strategy hs failed in one election after another. It certainly doesn't give confidence in the Democrats.

a. Alexeus s.
United States
09/09/2008
us election
I live in the Twin Cities all i can say is that the Republicans are totally out of touch with society. I don't trust the Democrats much either but George W. Bush is the worst President this country has ever had and we need to deny his party the Presidency again. There were snipers on the roof tops in downtown St. Paul around the protests. They targeted journalists in police raids. They denied permits as an excuse to beat up kids. KIDS!

 
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